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Week Ahead: What’s Driving the Markets

This week is packed with earnings from mega-cap tech companies—Apple, Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft—all of which have outsized influence over indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. Their guidance and AI-related outlooks will be under intense scrutiny. Earnings so far have shown solid beats—but investors now expect strong future guidance, not just current performance. At the same time, economic data releases including Q2 GDP, July’s jobs report, PCE inflation, and consumer confidence stand to meaningfully shift market expectations. Analysts anticipate the Fed will keep interest rates steady, but how Powell frames future policy will be watched closely. Balancing Act: Risks & Sentiment Markets remain at record highs, but concerns about overvaluation are growing. The S&P 500 trades around 22× expected earnings, and any hiccup in earnings or guidance could stoke volatility. Investors are especially wary after a prolonged rally and stretched valuation levels. Trade and tariffs continue to be uncertainty points.

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Why Value Stocks Are a Better Investment Than Growth Stocks Right Now

Market Context and Performance Overview The financial markets have witnessed a dramatic shift in investor sentiment over the past five years. After a decade of dominance by growth stocks—often tech-driven names with high revenue potential—investors are increasingly turning toward value stocks. This shift is not just a fad; it’s driven by economic fundamentals, valuation concerns, and evolving monetary policy. The chart below shows annual returns for value and growth stocks from 2020 to 2024. Growth stocks soared in 2020 and 2021, particularly during the pandemic and ultra-low-interest rate era. However, they faltered significantly in 2022, with a sharp -29.3% decline, triggered by rising interest rates and a focus on profitability. In contrast, value stocks demonstrated more stable performance. They never reached the highs of growth stocks during the boom but also avoided the massive drawdowns. In 2023 and 2024, value stocks outperformed growth, with returns of 11.3% and 14.6%, compared

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