oday Steve Yang sits down with Alex Spiroglou — global macro trader, Founder and CEO of SMART Trader Systems, and creator of the award-winning MACD-V momentum indicator — to unpack how to navigate a late-cycle market with a rules-based edge. Alex explains his Multiple Timeframe / Multiple Factor approach (monthly = macro regime, weekly = sentiment and CoT, daily = technical entries), why gold is the “benchwarmer” inside the precious-metals complex right now, and how he uses objective MACD-V thresholds (e.g., 150 = “risk zone”) to time trims and avoid chasing. We also dive into an active grains setup (corn) and why he’s cautious on equities and gold near-term.
Guest
Alex Spiroglou — Global Macro Trader; Founder & CEO, SMART Trader Systems
- Website: https://www.alexspiroglou.com/
- YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@AlexSpiroglou
- MACD-V overview (ChartSchool): https://chartschool.stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:technical_indicators:macd-v
- NAAIM Founders Award (MACD-V): https://naaim.org/founder_award
About the Conversation (Highlights)
- Late-cycle read: expansion is long in the tooth; watch for an equity correction, not a confirmed recession.
- Precious metals: sentiment and CoT suggest caution on gold; silver and others show stronger relative strength.
- Momentum normalized: how MACD-V fixes range-bound versus unbound issues and sets objective bands across markets.
- Four common momentum mistakes: indicator sprawl, wrong tool for regime, shallow pattern use, no context.
- Live setup: weekly CoT plus daily triggers in corn; fixed income on watch; avoiding equities and gold short-term.
- Risk: stops over narratives; “Mental stops make you mental.
